Prediction of intrapartum fever using continuously monitored vital signs and heart rate variability (opens in new tab)
Background: Fever during labor is associated with maternal and neonatal morbidity. Early identification of at-risk patients would enable timely clinical intervention. Objective: To develop and validate a predictive model of intrapartum fever using continuously monitored vital signs and heart rate variability (HRV). Methods: This was a prospective cohort study of 1,155 women in active labor. Raw vital signs and calculated HRV metrics were evaluated for their ability to predict fever (temperature >38.0°C) using logistic regression. Results: Fever was detected in 48 women (4.2%). Compared to afebrile mothers, febrile mothers had significantly decreased heart rate variability measures (SDNN and RMSSD) at 2-3 hours before fever onset (P<0.001). A predictive model built using continuous vital signs data outperformed a model built from episodic vital signs, with area under the curve of 0.81.